Are big, flashy campaign rallies worth the time and effort of presidential candidates?
ONE To study Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton's 2016 rally found that “Secretary Clinton's visits later in the campaign had a positive effect on her vote share in the places she visited.”
The poll found no similar barriers for his opponent, Donald Trump. But different To study The 2016 election concluded that “Trump rallies led to short-term increases in support for Clinton (especially among Republican leaners), voting intentions (especially among Republican leaners), and in individual campaign contributions to her.”
In fact, for an election that depends only on six thousand votes Battlefield StateThere is real value in holding large political rallies. They generate excitement on the ground as well as lots of local media coverage.
So, with less than 30 days until the 2024 elections, why are Republican presidential candidates spending precious time in California, Colorado and New York?
Trump will be in Aurora, Colorado, on Friday; Saturday in Coachella, California; and later Madison Square Garden in New York this month.
Coachella is in Riverside County, not far from the Mexican border. The desert city is predominantly Latino and its voters Basically democratic (for example State as a whole)
Local leaders have made it clear that Trump is far from welcome, even ostracized Lyrics by Kendrick Lamar To drive home the point.
Mayor Steven Hernandez “has consistently expressed disdain for the kind of diversity that helps define Coachella.” to say desert sun “We don't know why Trump is going to Coachella, but we know the people who live here didn't invite him. He’s not like us.”
Trump's campaign said the rally was an opportunity to attack his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, as attorney general and senator from California.
“Under their dangerous Democratic allies like Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, the infamous 'California Dream' has become a nightmare for everyday Americans,” the campaign said in announcing the event. “Californians are choking on rising prices for everything from groceries to housing, thanks to Komanomics.”
Other Republican officials and experts say the Coachella tour will be Help Trump attract Latinos. And with the border so close, expect a good dose of immigrant shaming.
But… Trump could do this in Arizona, where the border is also close and the Latino vote will be really important in the presidential race. After all, Harris doesn't need to go to Mar-a-Lago to criticize Trump.
With high temperatures expected to reach 99 degrees On Saturday, there is a greater chance that Trump's makeup will run in the oppressive heat as sweat stains spread across his armpits, rather than any kind of significant injury to Harris at the planned event. And if he can't draw a crowd in that heat, in the middle of the desert, the lighting will be especially bad.
And Trump Of course Lana Del Rey, Bad Bunny or Billie Eilish.
Aurora, Colorado, is the city claimed by Republicans Invaded by Venezuelan gangs. Trump repeated the claim during the September 10 presidential debate.
Ironically, this trip is an opportunity for Trump to see that it's all a lie. Perhaps he will follow the example of a local columnist who Visited the city And the building is supposedly controlled by bad gang members and instead the tenants are seen living in squalor due to the slums.
Given Trump's own past The slum zamindarA visit might even brighten your day.
Even the city's Republican mayor question planned visit by Trump and urged him to correct the record.
Mayor Mike Coffman said, “Former President Trump’s visit to Aurora is an opportunity to show him and the nation that Aurora is a very safe city – not a city overrun by Venezuelan gangs.”
His visit and inflammatory language are sure to make headlines and be the talk of conservative media. But again: Blue Colorado has no for-profit electoral votes. And again, the value of a campaign rally lies not in Newsmax or Fox News coverage of the results, but in local media coverage and motivating attendees to vote.
And a rally in Manhattan? Last week of campaign?
It's further proof that, as much as conservatives bitch and moan about New York City and other blue Democratic strongholds, Trump would rather spend the day surrounded by liberals in the Alabama, Pennsylvania area than talk to the your true supporters.
Let's make Donald Trump's awkward campaign rallies and unsolicited visits a thing of the past. Donate $5 to help Kamala Harris win the White House!
