The Swiss have differences with the Danes, but now we need their help.Image: trapezoid
The Swiss national team are already in trouble with just one point from four games in the Nations League so far. In their last two games against Serbia and Spain, the Swiss team relied on wins and support.
The current Nations League standings don't look promising at all for Switzerland. Reaching the quarter-finals is no longer possible, and even relegation could be a big gamble for Xhaka and his team. It is no longer just in Swiss hands. We've compiled possible scenarios for you.
current table
This works in case of a tie
- Direct head-to-head matches between related teams result in higher scores
- Better goal difference than direct head-to-head meetings with the relevant teams
- Increased number of goals scored in direct clashes between related teams
- Better goal difference than all group matches
- Goals increased in all group stages
- More away goals in all group matches
- More wins in all group stages
- More away wins in all group stages
- The total number of penalty points calculated based on yellow and red cards received by players and team officials in all group matches is lower (yellow card = 1 point, yellow and red = 3 points, red card = 3 points)
- Higher ranking in the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League roster (Switzerland ranks better than Serbia but behind Denmark)
It may turn into teeth grinding.Image: trapezoid
Even two wins could mean relegation
According to UEFA's regulations for the UEFA Nations League, if the points are tied, it will first be decided by a direct meeting between the relevant teams. Denmark currently has 7 points and Serbia has 4 points. If Switzerland wins both games and Denmark loses to Spain and Serbia, all three teams will receive 7 points.
If so, Switzerland would be relegated. Because the Swiss team only scored four points in direct confrontations with its two opponents. Therefore, Denmark, with seven points, and Serbia, with six points, will finish ahead of Murat Yakin's side. This means that second place is no longer possible for the Swiss team, as it would not have been possible for them to have the same number of points as Denmark in other circumstances.
If Denmark celebrates in the next two games, Switzerland will also be happy.Image: trapezoid
This is the starting position for Friday
If they lose or draw against Serbia, relegation is already a certainty. If the national team wins by less than two goals, Serbia will still be ahead of Switzerland heading into the final match as they have a greater goal difference advantage in direct head-to-head meetings. In October, Switzerland lost 0-2 away to Serbia.
Xhaka and Akanji struggled against Serbia in October.Image: trapezoid
If the game is won by at least three goals, the Swiss team will overtake the Serbian team in the direct duel with a greater goal difference advantage. If they win by two goals, they will certainly finish third as all group matches up to Monday have had more goals.
This would mean a narrow victory over Serbia
If Switzerland scores three points against Serbia, there will definitely be calculations in the final game. Both teams entered the decider with four points. So it's clear: A lot of math can be saved only if a team scores more points than its direct competitors.
This would mean a clear victory over Serbia
If the Swiss team beat the Serbian team by one goal, the whole situation would not be very complicated. They then have to score more points against Spain than Serbia did against Denmark. If Switzerland wins by three or more goals, then third place is safe if they have the same number of points as Serbia, unless Denmark lose both of their games this week. Then the national team will be relegated directly.
It means a two-goal win over Serbia
Switzerland currently has a goal difference of -7 and Serbia has a goal difference of -3. If Switzerland wins by two goals, it will be completely even before the final game of the group stage. This means that in all group matches it will be decided who scores more goals. The Swiss team will temporarily gain a three-goal advantage.
Switzerland will not be downgraded if:
- Switzerland has more points than Serbia.
- Both teams won, with Denmark not losing to Spain on Friday and Switzerland beating Spain by the same or better goal difference as Serbia against Denmark.
- Both games ended in draws. Serbia did not score at least three more goals than Switzerland.
- Spain defeated Switzerland, Denmark defeated Serbia, and the goal difference was the same as or higher than Spain.
If Switzerland and Serbia end up with the same points and the same goal difference, the decision will be based on away goals. Neither side has scored any away goals so far. Serbia will also have the same record as Switzerland on the next two points.
A fierce battle could ensue between Switzerland and Serbia.Image: trapezoid
This means that the decision must be made by the Fair Play rating. As you might guess, both countries are currently on equal footing in this regard as well. If this criterion also ends with the same score, Switzerland will be lucky. They are ahead of Serbia in the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League squad.
This is what happens after staying in the league
If they successfully jump to third place, the Swiss team will have to fight for the right to relegation with the second-place team in the second division. Possible opponents at the moment are England, Austria, Georgia and Wales.
The relegated England team could be seeking revenge.Image: trapezoid
The relegation match will take place during the next national team break. The first leg will be held on March 20, 2025, and the crucial second leg will be held three days later.
Swiss national team record player
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Swiss national team record player
In 1905, the Swiss national football team played its first match. These actors ran away 75 times or more For Switzerland. [Stand: 03.09.2024]
Topic: Keystone/Laurent Gillillon
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