One hundred experts warn against false peace

Ukraine needs military help to defeat Russia, not “quiet betrayal” by European politicians.Image: trapezoid

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The Munich Agreement of 1938 failed to stop Adolf Hitler. on the contrary. One hundred experts from science, politics and defense explained that it is now important to prevent a similar situation from happening.

Daniel Schulte
Daniel Schulte

In an open letter, 100 senior former diplomats, military commanders, intelligence chiefs, defense experts and politicians called on Western governments to support Ukraine — regardless of the outcome of the U.S. election.

The letter was published on Sunday. Those responsible wrote of their motivations:

“We are making this call today because European capitals must develop real contingency plans.”

What's the problem?

The Munich Agreement of 1938 was a rotten third party signed by Adolf Hitler and the heads of government Neville Chamberlain (Britain), Edouard Daladier (France) and Benito Mussolini (Italy) protocol. This meant that parts of Czechoslovakia were ceded to the Nazis, although there was no consultation with the government in Prague, which was directly affected.

This did not prevent a major war.

Bad Goldsberg, Germany - September 16: British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain arrives in Bad Goldsberg to meet Adolf Hitler at his Obersalzberg villa in preparation for September's Munich Conference …

In 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain arrived in Bad Goldsberg to meet Adolf Hitler.Image: Gamma Keystone Correction

Something similar is approaching today.

The actual worst-case scenario is that Donald Trump becomes President of the United States again. Well, Russia's top war criminal, Vladimir Putin, will have the most powerful people in the world on his side. Bad deals can happen quickly.

Experts warned in an open letter:

“First, a future Trump administration may try to force a deal with Russia that harms Ukraine’s interests and the security of Europe as a whole.

This would decouple Ukraine from NATO and the EU. Backed by a misleading notion of neutrality, Europe will be left with an unstable geopolitical gray zone at the heart of the continent. “

Yet Europe's biggest security issues won't suddenly be solved if Kamala Harris becomes America's first female political leader. on the contrary.

Harris is likely to inherit her predecessor Joe Biden's hesitation and hesitancy over military support for Ukraine. This has led to self-deterrence across the West, as has the fear of Putin’s “imaginary red lines.”

Expert comments:

“This will continue to deprive Ukraine of its ability to win the war. In this context, the fatalism of major European governments – which do not believe Ukraine will win and, at best, demand beefed-up NATO defenses in response to Ukraine's failure – is likely to be undermined within the alliance dominate and undermine its credibility.”

This is where Germany comes into play…

Why do we have to talk about Olaf Scholz?

First, it should be remembered that Germany has one of the largest economies in the world and claims political leadership in Europe.

However, this contrasts sharply with the Ukraine policy of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD).

  • Scholz bowed to pressure from growing anti-Ukrainian sentiment within his party and among some voters and argued that greater peace efforts were needed.
  • At the same time, Scholz is seen as a hindrance to the Western alliance in providing more decisive military assistance to Ukraine – “given Russia's massive intensification of terrorist attacks on Ukrainian civilians and invaded civilian infrastructure.” “. nation. “
  • Notably, the SPD has a new secretary general, Matthias Miersch, who likes Putin lobbyist Gerhard Schröder.
  • Under Scholz, Germany also slowed Ukraine's ties with NATO. According to observers, political Berlin is gripped by “the absurd idea that only unoccupied parts of Ukraine can join the Western alliance as a sign of willingness to compromise with Moscow.”
  • President Zelensky stated that many NATO countries have agreed to Ukraine’s invitation to NATO, which applies to the entire Ukrainian territory. Not Germany.

With national elections in mind in 2025 and the electoral success of the populist Alternative for Germany and BSW parties promoted by Putin, Scholz clearly wants to position the SPD as a party of peace. Critics call this his “The Fatal Peace Minister Fantasy”.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz (right) and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte attend a press conference at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, Monday, November 4, 2024. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi) Olaf Scholz...

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and Finance Minister Schulz at a joint media conference.Image: trapezoid

German publisher Richard Herzinger noted:

“Overall, there are many signs that the West is seeking a way out of the war through some form of 'compromise peace' with the aggressor, and sending more or less subtle signals of appeasement to Moscow.”

These: internationalepolitik.de

Why is forced peace dangerous for us too?

In their appeal, experts warned that there was no reliable plan for the security of Ukraine or Europe after the “ceasefire”.

The Putin regime has proven time and again in the past that it is not a credible negotiating partner and does not abide by signed agreements. A ceasefire would give Russia time to rebuild its armed forces while European allies have yet to start rearming themselves.

“The Minsk Agreement III was reached with full recognition that the West’s lack of willpower made it necessary. It would be a second Munich Agreement that would neither guarantee Ukraine’s stability nor increase its European neighbourhood. safety.”

As a reminder: the 2015 Minsk II agreement co-signed by Angela Merkel was intended to prevent a large-scale war in Ukraine. But that hasn’t stopped Putin from continuing to terrorize his neighbors. He also prepared his troops for a 2022 invasion.

Israeli historian Yuval Noah Harari said that if Putin's plan to breach Europe's borders through war and terror succeeds, the result will be “the ultimate collapse of the global order.” “Betrayal of Ukraine would be tantamount to the West's self-destruction,” Richard Hezinger wrote in a critical article on the subject.

“What the West still does not understand is that the identity and legitimacy of Putin's regime derive entirely from war and destruction and therefore will never and can voluntarily cease.”

These: internationalepolitik.de

What should Western governments do?

The signatories of the open letter are convinced third way may be hit, This will lead to the survival of Ukraine as a sovereign state and the failure of Russia.

“We recommend that the alliance of NATO member states commit to providing military and financial support to Kyiv and recommit to the goal of a sovereign Ukraine within internationally recognized borders, based on a clear strategy and vision focused on victory in Ukraine.”

Experts stressed that Russia's victory was “by no means inevitable.” Russia cannot sustain its current war effort beyond 2025.

Ukraine may go on to win and push back Russia. The defense ministries of the European NATO countries are well aware of this.

Increasing support for Ukraine is not only morally right, but is also the best way to “secure Europe in the short term” and give itself time to strengthen its defences.

“We have the ability to leverage Europe's industrial capabilities to quickly deliver the new military technology Ukraine needs to destroy the Russian war machine. For example, it is feasible to allow Ukraine to conduct large-scale precision strikes without external constraints on its target selection. .

Who signed the open letter?

There are over 100 celebrities, many from North America and Europe. These include:

  • Eliot CohenAmerican political scientist
  • Michael V. Haydenretired general, former Secret Service Director of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and National Security Agency (NSA)
  • Thomas Hendrik Ilvesformer President of Estonia
  • professor Thomas YeagerGerman political scientist and security expert
  • professor Carlo MassalaGerman political scientist and security expert
  • Artis Pabrixformer Minister of Foreign Affairs and Defense of Latvia
  • Michael RossGerman politician and political scientist
  • Hello Suttonwriter, military expert
  • professor Hugh StrachanBritish military historian

More names: see source.

source

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